Monday, April 30, 2007

Obama No. 1? One poll says so


Barack Obama has risen past Hillary Clinton in a new automated poll of likely Democratic voters. The Rasmussen poll has the Illinois senator at 32% and Clinton at 30%. John Edwards is steady at 17%.

The 2-point margin is statistically insignificant, and as we've reported before, there is some controversy about Rasmussen's methodology.

Still, this is the first time the former first lady and New York senator is behind in a national poll. And it does reflect a trend of erosion that we have noted earlier.

Of course, trends can change. The Rasmussen poll was conducted April 23-26 and most of the 765 interviews were done before the Democrats debated in South Carolina on Thursday night. The event was televised nationally and Clinton got generally good reviews for her performance. For instance, here and here.

(Photo: Obama and Clinton before last week's Democratic debate in South Carolina. By J. Scott Applewhite of the AP.)
http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/2007/04/obama_no_1_one_.html

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